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Beyond Buy and Hold: The Case for Evidence-Based Investing
Why the traditional 60/40 portfolio is broken, and how a rules-based framework can protect your capital in any market environment.
Dec 22, 2025
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
My Latest Research: The best way to gain access to ownership of SpaceX shares ahead of it's June IPO
Pre-IPO exposure to SpaceX is becoming one of the most sought-after themes in private markets.
4 hrs ago
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
New Research: The Ternary Regime Asset Framework (TRAF)
I am pleased to announce the public release of our flagship working paper, “The Ternary Regime Asset Framework (TRAF): A Regime-Aware Approach to…
May 8
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
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Beyond the Calendar: Why Your 60/40 Portfolio Needs a "Safety Tripwire"
Mar 15
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
2
The 200-Day Moving Average Reclaim: A Case Study in Trend Reversals
Dec 29, 2025
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
2
🧠 Dual Momentum Strategy Analysis: Is it Still the Best Way to Beat the Market in 2026?
Aug 7, 2025
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
1
Headline: A Regime-Aware Market Capitalization Rotation: Why Small Caps are Leading the April 2026 Pivot
Apr 16
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
1
S&P 500 Market Breadth Shifts:
Apr 27
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
1
Hybrid Asset Allocation for U.S. Market Cap Rotation: A Regime-Aware Framework
Feb 10
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
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S&P 500 Market Breadth Shifts:
Why Rising $BPSPX Odds Signal a Potential Bull Regime Return
Apr 27
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
1
Headline: A Regime-Aware Market Capitalization Rotation: Why Small Caps are Leading the April 2026 Pivot
Moving beyond the S&P 500—how a dual-momentum approach using TIP as a "canary" and market-cap rotation identifies the real leaders in a Risk-On…
Apr 16
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
1
Beyond the Calendar: Why Your 60/40 Portfolio Needs a "Safety Tripwire"
A Practitioner’s Guide to the Architectural Efficiency of Threshold-Based Rebalancing
Mar 15
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
2
The War Puzzle: Why Markets Often Defy Geopolitical Gravity
The S&P 500 often rally after military intervention? Explore the "War Puzzle," historical volatility data, and tactical asset allocation for 2026.
Mar 2
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
Is It Time to Rotate Out of the Magnificent Seven?
A Systematic Approach
Feb 21
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
Hybrid Asset Allocation for U.S. Market Cap Rotation: A Regime-Aware Framework
A Working Paper Extending the Keller–Keuning Hybrid Asset Allocation Model to Regime-Filtered U.S. Equity Capitalization Segments
Feb 10
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
The 200-Day Moving Average Reclaim: A Case Study in Trend Reversals
A guide to trading S&P 500 trend reversals using the 200-day moving average and market breadth.
Dec 29, 2025
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
2
🧠 Dual Momentum Strategy Analysis: Is it Still the Best Way to Beat the Market in 2026?
A critical, data-driven autopsy of the classic Dual Momentum strategy. We break down its performance mechanics, potential flaws, and whether it fits a…
Aug 7, 2025
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
1
🐻Mama Bear vs. Papa Bear: A Guide to Muscular Portfolios for 2026
Confused by the Muscular Portfolio variations? We break down the risk, return, and volatility differences between Mama Bear and Papa Bear strategies to…
May 31, 2025
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Peter B Richman MD MBA
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TradeRounds Newsletter
Expert financial market analysis by Peter Richman MD MBA. TradeRounds features evidence-based, data-driven articles applying academic research principles to modern trading and investment.
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