New Research: The Ternary Regime Asset Framework (TRAF)
I am pleased to announce the public release of our flagship working paper, “The Ternary Regime Asset Framework (TRAF): A Regime-Aware Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation,” now hosted on SSRN.
This paper serves as the intellectual anchor for the quantitative philosophy we employ at TradeRounds. While traditional tactical models often rely on isolated momentum signals, the TRAF framework introduces a multi-dimensional method for identifying market “regimes”, allowing for a more robust adaptation to shifting volatility and liquidity environments.
Key Insights from the Research:
The “TRAF Sticky” Strategy: We provide a full breakdown of the mechanics behind this core strategy, which has demonstrated a 0.63 Sharpe ratio in long-term backtesting, offering superior risk-adjusted metrics compared to traditional buy-and-hold benchmarks.
Regime-Aware Dynamics: The research formalizes how we categorize market environments into distinct regimes to optimize asset rotation and defensive positioning.
Academic Submission: This paper is currently under formal editorial consideration for publication in a leading peer-reviewed finance journal.



